
Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities.
On Tuesday, major U.S. stock indexes were little changed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 63 points (+0.17%) to 37,798, snapping a six-day losing streak. The S&P 500 declined 10 points (-0.21%) to 5,051, while the Nasdaq 100 added 6 points (+0.04%) to 17,713.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield advanced a further 4.1 basis points to 4.669%.U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell pointed out that, considering hotter-than-expected inflation data, interest rates could be maintained at current levels for a longer-than-expected period.
Technology and healthcare stock sectors posted gains, while real estate, utilities and energy sectors lost the most.
Bank of America (BAC) fell 3.53%. The major U.S. bank reported lower first-quarter earnings.
Bank of New York Mellon (BK) dropped 1.98%.
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) gained 5.22%. The health-insurance provider reported better-than-expected quarterly results.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) closed 2.13% lower as quarterly sales missed expectations.
Regarding U.S. economic data, building permits slid 4.3% on month in March (vs -0.7% expected), housing starts plunged 14.7% (vs -0.8%).
U.S. industrial production grew 0.4% on month in March (vs +0.2%) expected.
European stocks closed lower, with the DAX 40 falling 1.44%, the CAC 40 down 1.40% and the FTSE 100 down 1.82%.
U.S. WTI crude-oil dipped $0.14 to $85.27 a barrel.
Gold price was little changed at $2,382 an ounce.
Market Wrap: Forex
The U.S. dollar index dipped to 104.05.
EUR/USD gained 18 pips to 1.0772. Germany's industrial production declined 1.6% on month in December (vs -0.3% expected).
USD/JPY rose 21 pips to 148.15.
GBP/USD climbed 30 pips to 1.2627. In the U.K., the Halifax house price index added 1.3% on month in January (vs +0.5% expected).
AUD/USD eased 5 pips to 0.6518.
USD/CHF climbed 48 pips to 0.8743.
USD/CAD dropped 32 pips to 1.3460. Canada recorded a trade deficit of C$310 million (vs a trade surplus of C$1.8 billion expected), the first trade deficit since September 2023.
Bitcoin eventually broke out its recent trading range, trading 2.5% higher to $44,200. Thanks to Powell's relatively hawkish comments, the U.S. dollar held its strength against other major currencies, with the dollar index charging higher to 106.37.
USD/JPY ran up to 154.79, the highest level since 1990.
EUR/USD once sank down to 1.0601, a five-month low. In Germany, the ZEW economic sentiment index climbed to 42.9 in April (vs 32.0 expected).
GBP/USD fell 20 pips to 1.2424. U.K. jobless rate rose to 4.2% in February (vs 4.0% expected).
AUD/USD dropped 41 pips to 0.6400.
NZD/USD slid a further 22 pips to 0.5881. This morning, New Zealand's data showed that the inflation rate slowed to 4.0% on year in the first quarter (vs 4.3% expected).
USD/CHF gained 14 pips to 0.9128.
USD/CAD rose 43 pips to 1.3829. Canada's inflation rate ticked higher to 2.9% on year in March (vs 2.7% expected).
Bitcoin failed to break above the $67,000 level and then pulled back to a low of $62,315.
GBP/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.2470.
Pivot:
1.2470
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.2470 with targets at 1.2400 & 1.2375 in extension.
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.2470 look for further upside with 1.2495 & 1.2520 as targets.
Comment:
As long as 1.2470 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

USD/JPY Intraday: further advance.
Pivot:
154.35
Our preference:
Long positions above 154.35 with targets at 154.90 & 155.15 in extension.Alternative scenario:
Below 154.35 look for further downside with 154.10 & 153.85 as targets.
Comment:
The RSI lacks downward momentum.

EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.
Pivot:
1.0650
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.0650 with targets at 1.0600 & 1.0585 in extension.
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.0650 look for further upside with 1.0665 & 1.0680 as targets.
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 1.0650 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 1.0600 remains high.

Crude Oil (WTI) (K4) Intraday: bullish bias above 84.80.
Pivot:
84.80
Our preference:
Long positions above 84.80 with targets at 86.10 & 86.60 in extension.
Alternative scenario:
Below 84.80 look for further downside with 84.20 & 83.60 as targets.
Comment:
The RSI calls for a rebound.

Gold Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot:
2363.00
Our preference:
Long positions above 2363.00 with targets at 2398.00 & 2409.00 in extension.
Alternative scenario:
Below 2363.00 look for further downside with 2352.00 & 2340.00 as targets.
Comment:
The RSI calls for a bounce.

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已编辑 17 Apr 2024, 12:27
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