EUR/USD HOLDS KEY SUPPORT OF 1.1100 AHEAD OF POWELL'S SPEECH AT JACKSON HOLE

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  • EUR/USD edges higher as the US Dollar drops as traders shift their focus to Fed Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium.
  • Investors look for fresh interest-rate guidance for September and the remainder of the year.
  • The ECB is widely anticipated to cut interest rates again in September.

EUR/USD recovers mildly to near 1.1120 in Friday’s European session after correcting from a fresh year-to-date high of 1.1174 on Thursday. The major currency pair edges higher as the US Dollar (USD) resumes its recent weakness after a decent recovery move a day earlier, amid caution ahead of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, drops to near 101.30 after recovering from a more-than-seven-month low of 101.00 to nearly 101.60 on Thursday. The US Dollar bounced back strongly after the flash US S&P Global PMI report for August showed that the Composite PMI came in better than estimated at 54.1. Overall, the report showed that business activity was boosted by a robust expansion in the services sector, while the manufacturing part of the economy contracted at a faster-than-expected pace.

In his speech at the JH Symposium – scheduled at 14:00 GMT – Jerome Powell is expected to provide cues on interest rates and the United States (US) economic outlook. Market participants are keen to know the size of interest rate cuts in the September meeting, given that a “vast majority” of officials said that "if the data continued to come in about as expected, it would likely be appropriate to ease policy at the next meeting,” according to Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes of July 30-31 policy meeting. 



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