GBP/JPY rebounds over 100 pips from one-week low, climbs back closer to 191.00 mark

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  • GBP/JPY stages a solid intraday recovery from over a one-week trough touched earlier this Monday.
  • A combination of factors weighs on the JPY and lends support to the cross amid a modest GBP uptick.
  • The divergent BoJ-BoE policy expectations warrant caution before placing aggressive bullish bets.

The GBP/JPY cross attracts some dip-buyers in the vicinity of mid-189.00s, or a one-week low and for now, seems to have stalled its retracement slide from a nearly two-month peak touched on Friday. The move up lifts spot prices to the 191.00 neighborhood, back closer to the daily peak during the early European session, though the fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for bullish traders. 

The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens in reaction to comments from Japan's incoming Prime Minister (PM) Shigeru Ishiba, saying that the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monetary policy must remain accommodative to underpin a fragile economic recovery. This, along with news that the new PM is planning a general election for October 27 and mixed Japanese economic data, continues to undermine the JPY and lends support to the GBP/JPY cross. 

Meanwhile, the British Pound (GBP) draws support from a subdued US Dollar (USD) demand and expectations that the Bank of England's (BoE) rate-cutting cycle is likely to be slower than in the US. This turns out to be another factor acting as a tailwind for the GBP/JPY cross. That said, the growing market conviction that the BoJ will hike interest rates again by the end of this year should help limit any meaningful JPY losses.


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