- RBA Minutes from the September meeting showed board members overlooked the warning that there would be no rate cuts in the near future. The Australian central bank wants to keep its options open, watching whether the economy starts to pick up in the second half of the year.
- “This leaves the door open to a shift to neutral by the end of this year and then easing in early 2025. We continue to expect the first cash rate cut in February 2025,” noted ANZ analysts.
- The World Bank forecasted that China’s growth rate will slow to 4.3% in 2025, down from a projected 4.8% this year, in an economic update on Tuesday.
- San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Wednesday one or two more rate cuts this year are likely if the economy evolves as she expects, adding that she is now "quite confident" inflation is headed toward the Fed's 2% target.
- Boston Fed President Susan Collins said on Wednesday that with inflation trends growing weaker, it is very probable that the Fed can deliver more interest rate reductions.
- The markets have priced in nearly 80% odds of 25 basis points (bps) Fed rate cuts in November, up from 31.1% last week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
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