POUND STERLING RISES AS TRADERS EXPECT BOE TO FOLLOW GRADUAL POLICY-EASING PATH

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  • The Pound Sterling rises as investors expect that the policy-easing cycle of the BoE will be slow and shallow.
  • Investors await speeches from BoE MPC members Dhingra and Lombardelli for fresh interest rate guidance.
  • The US Dollar weakens following the announcement that Donald Trump has chosen  Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary. 

The Pound Sterling (GBP) bounces back strongly at the start of the week and outperforms its major peers after facing a sharp sell-off on Friday. The British currency declined on Friday after the United Kingdom (UK) Retail Sales contracted at a faster-than-expected pace in October and the flash S&P Global/CIPS Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for November came in below the 50.0 threshold for the first time since October 2023.

Monthly Retail Sales declined by 0.7% as retailers reported that shoppers held back on spending ahead of the new government's first tax and spending budget on Oct. 30, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Meanwhile, the Composite PMI fell below the 50.0 level that separates expansion from contraction as activity in the manufacturing sector declined and the service sector output stagnated. “The first survey on the health of the economy after the Budget makes for gloomy reading”, said Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence. 



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