At a start of a new trading week stocks have seen a new drop after the Trump administration reaffirmed that it will stick to its planned tariffs, fueling fears of deeper global economic fallout. And it seems that markets are beginning to price in the potential for a recession, with risk sentiment taking a hit across the board. After last week’s sharp drop in US markets, Chinese stocks are now following lower, despite China imposing its own retaliatory tariffs. President Trump remains confident these moves will ultimately boost the US economy, but he is also calling for lower interest rates—something the Fed is not yet ready to deliver as highlighted by Powell last week, saying that they are not in rush.
With markets seemingly pricing in a recession, the key question is: when will we see stabilization? In my view, markets may not find a bottom until we see hard data confirming the economic slowdown, because thats when CB will cut, if not earlier. The first estimate of Q1 GDP is due on April 30, followed by the Q2 release on July 30. These reports could be the catalysts that shape expectations moving forward.
Regarding my USD view, I think weakness will resume after current bounce.
For more of my latest Elliott wave outlook on Dollar, cryptos, gold, crude, SP500 and more check out video below.
"
Get Full Access To Our Premium Elliott Wave Analysis For 14 Days. Click here.
"
作者:Gregor Horvat,文章来源FXStreet,版权归原作者所有,如有侵权请联系本人删除。
风险提示:以上内容仅代表作者或嘉宾的观点,不代表 FOLLOWME 的任何观点及立场,且不代表 FOLLOWME 同意其说法或描述,也不构成任何投资建议。对于访问者根据 FOLLOWME 社区提供的信息所做出的一切行为,除非另有明确的书面承诺文件,否则本社区不承担任何形式的责任。
FOLLOWME 交易社区网址: followme.asia
加载失败()