AlexBraun

Let’s not pretend this next phase of global trade negotiations is going to be smooth sailing. The will is there — 70+ potential partners want a seat at the table, and there's growing acknowledgment in both Washington and Beijing that de-escalation is strategically necessary. But anyone expecting a P

Following sharp escalation of US-China trade war in April, a direct export shock to the US is imminent. Exemptions for electronics, trade circumvention/reorientation and more support will mitigate this shock. We lowered our annual growth forecasts for 2025/ 2026 to 4.1% (from 4.3%) and 3.9% (from 4.

The provided document contains weekly charts for five major currency pairs: USD/JPY, NZD/USD, GBP/USD, EUR/USD, and AUD/USD. Each pair is represented by two chart types: Chart 1: A candlestick chart displaying support and resistance levels. Chart 2: A candlestick chart with Bollinger Bands and a Z-s

Markets Yesterday during the day, markets gradually entered calmer waters as the impact of the rift between President Trump and the Fed gradually unwound. US equities more than reversed Monday’s decline with major indices closing between 2.51% (S&P 500) and 2.71% (Nasdaq) higher. US Treasuries a

As I watch the Trump administration tear up existing contracts relating to infrastructure spending, green energy initiatives, and research projects affecting science and medical discovery, I can’t help but think about how antithetical these actions are to the objective of rooting out waste. What cou

The past week continued to bring a lack of clarity on tariffs, including on how and whether the US and China will eventually come to the table to at least start to negotiate. If anything, there were some escalation at the margin, with curbs on Nvidia’s AI chips designed for the China market which le

UK Retail Sales (Mar) – 25/04 – having seen the UK economy grow by 0.5% in February there may well be a case for arguing that the recent doom and gloom may well be overdone, after showing stagnation in January. The 0.5% expansion was especially surprising given how low the bar was set on expectation

In classic holiday drift mode, Asia opened with all the spark of an Energizer Easter bunny that forgot its batteries — listless, directionless, and running on fumes. Stocks bounced between minor gains and losses as traders stayed sidelined, waiting for something real to emerge from the tariff trench

We’ve continued to see significant chop across financial markets as investors try and make sense of where President Trump’s gaze will fall next. Fresh from announcing a 90-day pause on tariffs the President has shifted his attention to Fed chairman Jay Powell, criticising him for not cutting interes

The oil market is quiet in early morning trading today, after settling lower for a second consecutive week last week. News that the Trump administration is offering tariff exemptions on certain electronics products initially supported risk assets. Since then, uncertainty returned as President Trump

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