GordonPiskS
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USD slips as stocks dip – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) is tracking lower again after two days of gains lifted the DXY some 2% off the three year low reached earlier in the week. The CHF and JPY are sitting near the top of the overnight performance table, just behind the SEK and NOK. The CAD and MXN are firmer but lagging their peers.
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Gold: Volatility at the top
Gold's 5% rally in the first 30 hours of the trading week, and touching the important round level of $3500, was followed by a steep fall to $3260 in the next 30 hours. After that, the price stabilised at $3340, close to the highs of the previous week. Signs of a ‘head and shoulders’ pattern are form
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Oil outlook: WTI’s price action in a wait and see position
Since last week’s report WTI’s price rose slightly and stabilised around $63 per barrel. We are to take a look at fundamental issues affecting the commodity’s price, like the state of the US oil market, market worries for the commodity’s demand outlook and supply issues for the international oil mar
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Trump embarrasses himself every day
As the first 100 days of Trump in office comes closer (next Wednesday), the pundits are starting to deliver the verdict—total fail. The number of blunders is astonishing—one cut after another having to be pulled back because it was an “error.” One court case after another going against the Trump que
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Little sign of strength in March durables outside aircraft-related lift
Summary The 9.2% gain in March durable goods orders was due almost entirely to a pop in orders for nondefense aircraft. The underlying trend in orders remains weak as businesses await clarity on tariff policy. Durable shipments pulled back, but equipment spending was still strong in Q1. ‘Cause I’m l
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WTI Oil outlook: Recovery faces strong headwinds at key Fibo barrier
WTI Oil WTI oil edged higher on Thursday and recovered part of losses of previous day (down 2.4% for the day) after OPEC signaled further output increase from June. Limited recovery remains weighed by signals of further supply increase and with still unclear situation with tariffs, after calmer tone
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Eurozone: Less deficit, a little more room for manoeuvre
The euro area government deficit decreased in 2024 to -3.1% of GDP. Italy and Greece posted primary surpluses even though their interest costs remain high. The fiscal adjustment that still needs to be provided by the countries whose deficits increased in 2024 (France, Austria, Belgium, Finland) will
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Which is the best Trade War proxy in the FX arena?
Tariffs remain at the top of investors’ agendas. Wall Street and gold have been very responsive to headlines. But which FX pair is best reflecting the turbulence? Aussie/franc has the strongest correlation with the S&P 500. Markets in the mercy of Trump’s tariff rhetoric Since Donald Trump enter
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SPY basing or trending
S&P 500 pulled back and one could say arguably not enough into the Trump gap. Bessent pronouncements and China tariff standoff – will it be 50-65% as WSJ alluded to, or no unilateral lowering as the Treasury says? I‘m on the record as saying China won‘t fold – some US exceptions are more likely.
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EUR/USD correction can continue to 1.1200 [Video]
In this TradeGateHub Live Trading session, the coach discusses the ongoing correction in EURUSD, suggesting that it could continue toward the 1.12 level. He analyzes the emerging patterns in both EURUSD and the DXY, offering insights into current market behavior. Additionally, he provides a trading
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Bailey speech: I don't think UK economy is close to recession
In an interview with CNBC on Thursday, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said that they see the impact of tariff uncertainty coming through to business investment and consumers. Key takeaways "Impact of tariffs on exchange rates has not been that large for the UK." "We are focused on the
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GBP/USD rebounds past 1.3300 as US-China tensions rattle US Dollar
GBP/USD gains 0.55% as investors sell USD amid trade uncertainty.China demands full tariff rollback; US officials push back on compromise.DXY drops to 99.45 as Fed officials strike a cautious, data-dependent tone. The Pound Sterling recovered some ground versus the US Dollar on Thursday as market pa
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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Pair climbs toward mid-1.1300s, bullish bias holds steady
EUR/USD trades near the 1.1350 zone after advancing during Thursday’s session.Momentum indicators remain mixed, but moving averages confirm the bullish trend.Support seen at 1.1320 and 1.1195; resistance stands near 1.1375 and 1.1390. The EURUSD pair gained ground following Thursday’s European sessi
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US: Tariff revenues surge, but not enough – Standard Chartered
US tariff revenues reached a record-high USD 12bn on 22 April; MTD, they are up 130% vs 2024 levels. At this pace, the increase in tariff revenue is likely to total a little less than 0.4% of GDP over a full year. If tariffs stay at current levels, revenues may move up a little, but there are two-si
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Bài phát biểu của Bailey: Tôi không nghĩ nền kinh tế Vương quốc Anh gần rơi vào suy thoái
Trong một cuộc phỏng vấn với CNBC vào thứ Năm, Thống đốc Ngân hàng trung ương Anh (BoE) Andrew Bailey cho biết họ thấy tác động của sự không chắc chắn về thuế quan ảnh hưởng đến đầu tư kinh doanh và người tiêu dùng. Các điểm chính "Tác động của thuế quan đối với tỷ giá hối đoái không lớn đối với Vươ
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